The Arbitral Tribunal established at the unilateral request of the Philippines issued its ruling on July 12. In the days prior to the Haugue’s ruling, the US has been patrolling in the South China Sea, while the Chinese navy has been conducting routine military drills. Philippine policymakers have suggested that the country is under pressure from Washington to find issues with China. What’s at stake for each of the involved parties? How might the dispute impact China’s relationships with the US and the Philippines? Is a showdown looming? We spoke with experts representing a range of perspectives, including Douglas Paal, Vice President for studies at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; Zhou Bo, Senior Colonel in the Foreign Affairs Office of the Ministry of National Defense; and Yuan Peng, Vice President of the China Institute of Contemporary International Relations.
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